← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 2, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Marta Huerta de Aza, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Ceuta win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ceuta −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Cordoba −0.5 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Dani Requena · Cordoba |
| 22' | 🟨 | Marcos Fernández · Ceuta |
| 23' | ⚽ | Adrian Fuentes · Cordoba |
| 27' | 🟨 | Rubén · Cordoba |
| 75' | 🟨 | Aboubacar Bassinga · Ceuta |
| 84' | 🟨 | Samuel Obeng · Ceuta |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alberto del Moral · Cordoba |
| 89' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Ceuta |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Ceuta |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| coach days | 93.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1457.28 | 1505.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.62 | 40.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 8.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |