← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Eibar win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.75 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Almeria −0.75 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 22' | ⚽ | Álex Muñoz · Almeria |
| 33' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Eibar |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Adrián Embarba · Almeria |
| 64' | 🟨 | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 70' | ⚽ | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 72' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | UD Almeria Stadium |
| coach days | 92.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1548.26 | 1508.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.50 | -25.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 0.54 |
| solidity v1 | 0.10 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 23.29 | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.45 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | — |