← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.95 |
| Burgos win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes −0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over | 33% | 2.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Álex Millán · Leganes |
| 8' | ⚽ | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 33' | 🟨 | Duk · Leganes |
| 34' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 39' | 🟨 | Florian Miguel · Burgos |
| 45' | ⚽ | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Leganes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Álex Lizancos · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel de la Fuente · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.83 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Butarque |
| coach days | 92.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1576.84 | 1501.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.71 | 13.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 15.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.14 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.20 |
| solidity v1 | 0.53 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 30.04 | — |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | — |