← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa win | 51% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Mirandes win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Mirandes −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Luis Chacón · Cultural Leonesa |
| 29' | 🟨 | Carlos Fernández · Mirandes |
| 33' | 🟨 | Rafael Bauza · Mirandes |
| 37' | ⚽ | Carlos Fernández · Mirandes |
| 39' | 🟨 | Álex Cardero · Mirandes |
| 62' | ⚽ | Agustín Pastoriza Pibe · Cultural Leonesa |
| 69' | ⚽ | Carlos Fernández · Mirandes |
| 89' | ⚽ | Lucas Ribeiro · Cultural Leonesa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cultural Leonesa | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Reino de León |
| coach days | 92.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1423.33 | 1487.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.94 | -46.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| league points | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 7.14 | 6.84 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | — | 22.40 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |