← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 26, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Valladolid win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Dani Barcia · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Juanmi Latasa · Valladolid |
| 43' | 🟨 | Giacomo Quagliata · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcos André · Valladolid |
| 50' | 🟨 | Marcos André · Valladolid |
| 50' | 🟥 | Marcos André · Valladolid |
| 72' | 🟨 | Samuele Mulattieri · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 79' | 🟨 | Juanmi Latasa · Valladolid |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Yeremay Hernández · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Deportivo La Coruña | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Riazor |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 86.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1506.96 | 1435.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.94 | -23.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 63.80 |
| rest days | 7.15 | 7.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |