← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Morilla Turrion, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| Andorra (club) win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Andorra (club) −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | David Larrubia · Málaga CF |
| 26' | 🟨 | Min-su Kim · Andorra (club) |
| 49' | 🟥 | Darko Brašanac · Málaga CF |
| 53' | 🟨 | Daniel Villahermosa · Andorra (club) |
| 55' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Málaga CF |
| 58' | ⚽ | Julen Lobete · Málaga CF |
| 81' | 🟨 | Chupete · Málaga CF |
| 86' | ⚽ | Eneko Jauregi · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aitor Uzkudun · Andorra (club) |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manuel Nieto · Andorra (club) |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 23 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Andorra (club) |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 86.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1460.25 | 1430.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.79 | -26.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.80 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| league points | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 87.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 8.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |