← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Eder Mallo Fernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 43% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Leganes win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.25 | 51% | 2.03 |
| Leganes −0.25 | 49% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Diego García · Leganes |
| 29' | 🟨 | Marvel · Leganes |
| 36' | 🟨 | Rubén Peña · Leganes |
| 39' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Leganes |
| 42' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Eibar |
| 49' | 🟨 | Amadou Diawara · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurua |
| coach days | 85.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1507.77 | 1577.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.37 | -10.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.76 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| league points | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 30.04 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |