← Segunda División 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.74 |
| Huesca win | 31% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas +0 | 52% | 1.95 |
| Huesca +0 | 48% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Daniel Luna · Huesca |
| 37' | 🟨 | Francisco Portillo · Huesca |
| 45' | ⚽ | Enol Rodríguez · Huesca |
| 76' | 🟨 | Iván Gil · Las Palmas |
| 79' | ⚽ | Miloš Luković · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 84.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1486.45 | 1559.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.69 | 20.62 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 12.08 | 4.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 24.75 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |