← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 19, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Ojaos Valera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.05 |
| Eibar win | 24% | 4.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Eibar −0.25 | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.52 |
| Over | 35% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Ale García · Las Palmas |
| 60' | 🟨 | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 66' | ⚽ | Miloš Luković · Las Palmas |
| 83' | ⚽ | Javier Martón Ansó · Eibar |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marvin Park · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Suárez · Las Palmas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Enrique Clemente · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 79.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1548.43 | 1518.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.93 | -9.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 9.02 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.48 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.75 | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.56 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |