← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 19, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Cordoba win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Cordoba +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
| 39' | 🟨 | Aridane Hernández · Almeria |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Jacobo · Cordoba |
| 54' | 🟨 | Carlos Albarrán · Cordoba |
| 68' | 🟨 | Álex Centelles · Almeria |
| 89' | 🟨 | Kevin Villodres · Cordoba |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| coach days | 79.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1435.40 | 1543.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.21 | 28.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |