← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Cultural Leonesa win | 20% | 4.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Cultural Leonesa −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Zaragoza |
| 33' | 🟨 | Pablo Insua · Zaragoza |
| 39' | 🟥 | Juan Sebastian Serrano · Zaragoza |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Justo · Cultural Leonesa |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Paul Akouokou · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Esteban Andrada · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟥 | Paul Akouokou · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Luis Chacón · Cultural Leonesa |
| 49' | 🟨 | Rubén Sobrino · Cultural Leonesa |
| 52' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 13 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Cultural Leonesa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ibercaja Stadium |
| Manu Justo · Cultural Leonesa |
| 71' | 🟨 | Rodri Suárez · Cultural Leonesa |
| 74' | ⚽ | Paco Cortés · Cultural Leonesa |
| 86' | ⚽ | Paco Cortés · Cultural Leonesa |
| coach days | 78.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1387.48 | 1411.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.67 | 11.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |