← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 12, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Málaga CF win | 28% | 3.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Chupete · Málaga CF |
| 18' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 32' | ⚽ | Chupete · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Chupete · Málaga CF |
| 49' | ⚽ | Rafa Rodriguez · Málaga CF |
| 68' | 🟨 | Dani Barcia · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rubén López · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 72.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1450.10 | 1534.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.62 | 57.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.80 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.83 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |