← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 12, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: German Cid Camacho, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 41% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.97 |
| Huesca win | 26% | 3.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.25 | 51% | 1.99 |
| Cadiz −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Abajas · Huesca |
| 50' | 🟨 | Julio Alonso · Huesca |
| 63' | 🟨 | Iker Recio · Cadiz |
| 65' | 🟨 | Daniel Luna · Huesca |
| 70' | ⚽ | Iuri Tabatadze · Cadiz |
| 82' | 🟨 | Iza Carcelén · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 72.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1530.37 | 1493.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.98 | -21.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |