← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 11, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.01 |
| Mirandes win | 27% | 3.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Leganes +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Ismael Barea · Mirandes |
| 18' | 🟨 | Duk · Leganes |
| 22' | 🟨 | Marino Illescas · Mirandes |
| 40' | 🟨 | Hugo Novoa Ramos · Mirandes |
| 42' | 🟨 | Martín Pascual · Mirandes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
| 77' | 🟨 | Etienne Eto'o Pineda · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Estadio Mendizorrotza |
| coach days | 71.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1518.32 | 1568.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.71 | -8.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 22.40 | 30.04 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.11 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |