← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Cadiz win | 22% | 4.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Cadiz −0.5 | 50% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Iza Carcelén · Cadiz |
| 48' | 🟨 | Mario Climent · Cadiz |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alfred Caicedo · Cadiz |
| 67' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · Las Palmas |
| 85' | ⚽ | Sergio Barcia · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Ortuño · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 65.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1539.51 | 1538.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.75 | 14.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.65 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.75 | 28.22 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.56 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |