← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 5, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sanchez Lopez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Cordoba win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.80 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 11' | 🟨 | Rubén · Cordoba |
| 12' | 🟨 | Ignasi Vilarrasa · Cordoba |
| 25' | 🟨 | Dani Gómez · Zaragoza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Paul Akouokou · Zaragoza |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marcelo Timorán · Cordoba |
| 67' | ⚽ (og) | Francho Serrano · Cordoba |
| 83' | 🟨 | Sergi Guardiola · Cordoba |
| 89' | 🟨 | Esteban Andrada · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Paul Akouokou · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟥 | Paul Akouokou |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ibercaja Stadium |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Requena · Cordoba |
| coach days | 65.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1406.07 | 1415.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.73 | 4.18 |
| eye test v1 | -1.12 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.90 | 44.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 8.73 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |