← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Almeria win | 23% | 4.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Luismi Cruz · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 23' | ⚽ | Federico Bonini · Almeria |
| 28' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Almeria |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ximo Navarro · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 54' | 🟨 | Stefan Džodić · Almeria |
| 62' | ⚽ | Yeremay Hernández · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 66' | 🟨 | Diego Villares · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 71' | 🟨 | Iddrisu Baba · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Deportivo La Coruña | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Riazor |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 64.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 4.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1535.83 | 1534.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.97 | 0.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.88 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | 0.82 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |