← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 28, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Cultural Leonesa win | 16% | 6.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −1 | 50% | 1.92 |
| Cultural Leonesa −1 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Diego Collado · Cultural Leonesa |
| 19' | 🟨 | Roger Hinojo · Cultural Leonesa |
| 33' | 🟨 | Juanmi Latasa · Valladolid |
| 38' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Valladolid |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pablo Tomeo · Valladolid |
| 64' | 🟨 | Diego Collado · Cultural Leonesa |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tomás Ribeiro · Cultural Leonesa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Cultural Leonesa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 58.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1459.27 | 1405.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.23 | -3.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.25 | — |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |