← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: German Cid Camacho, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 39% | 2.51 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 31% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Eibar −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Yeremay Hernández · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 24' | 🟨 | Marco Moreno · Eibar |
| 33' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 64' | 🟨 | Leonardo Buta · Eibar |
| 70' | 🟨 | Zakaria Eddahchouri · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 73' | 🟨 | Germán Parreño · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 75' | 🟨 | Aleix Garrido · Eibar |
| 83' | 🟨 | Arnau Comas · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 85' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 88' | 🟨 | Rubén López · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurua |
| ⚽ |
| Malcom Ares · Eibar |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 57.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1533.63 | 1534.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.98 | 62.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.92 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 2.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.64 | — |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |