← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 28% | 3.54 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Alvaro Mantilla · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 10' | 🟨 | Manu · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 51' | ⚽ | Andrés Martín · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 61' | ⚽ | Marco Sangalli · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jacobo · Cordoba |
| 73' | ⚽ | Ignasi Vilarrasa · Cordoba |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jacobo · Cordoba |
| 78' | 🟥 | Jacobo · Cordoba |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jorge Salinas · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristian Carracedo · Cordoba |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1409.19 | 1536.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.00 | 19.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| league points | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 2.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |