← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 21, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Valladolid win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete +0 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Valladolid +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.87 |
| Over | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Alvaro Aceves Catalina · Valladolid |
| 28' | 🟨 | Alejandro Meléndez · Albacete |
| 41' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Valladolid |
| 60' | ⚽ | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 64' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Tomeo · Valladolid |
| 90' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1467.57 | 1471.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.24 | 41.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.82 |
| league points | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.78 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |