← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Las Palmas win | 28% | 3.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Leganes −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Diego García · Leganes |
| 19' | 🟨 | Mika Mármol · Las Palmas |
| 34' | 🟨 | Miloš Luković · Las Palmas |
| 43' | 🟨 | Seydouba Cisse · Leganes |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ale García · Las Palmas |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Leganes |
| 60' | 🟨 | Seydouba Cisse · Leganes |
| 60' | 🟥 | Seydouba Cisse · Leganes |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sergio Barcia · Las Palmas |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ale García · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Butarque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Roberto López · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amadou Diawara · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marvin Park · Las Palmas |
| coach days | 50.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1587.14 | 1539.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.40 | 11.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.04 | 24.75 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |