← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Andres Fuentes Molina, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Leganes win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Granada −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Manuel Lama Maroto · Granada |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Diego García · Leganes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Oscar Naasei Oppong · Granada |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marvel · Leganes |
| 48' | 🟨 | Juan Cruz · Leganes |
| 61' | 🟨 | Duk · Leganes |
| 69' | ⚽ | Roberto López · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 44.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1486.24 | 1573.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.43 | -3.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| league points | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.10 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 30.04 |
| state index | -1.02 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |