← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Etayo Herrera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Málaga CF win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Huesca −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over | 34% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Iker Kortajarena · Huesca |
| 58' | 🟨 | Iñigo Sebastián Magana · Huesca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Julio Alonso · Huesca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Diego Murillo · Málaga CF |
| 77' | 🟨 | Joaquín Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Liberto Beltrán · Huesca |
| 90' | ⚽ | Liberto Beltrán · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1505.14 | 1487.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.86 | 27.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 47.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |