← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Eder Mallo Fernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.04 |
| Eibar win | 26% | 3.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Eibar −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Eibar |
| 28' | 🟨 | Álvaro Rodriguez · Eibar |
| 56' | 🟨 | Alvaro Garcia-Pascual · Cadiz |
| 60' | 🟨 | Iza Carcelén · Cadiz |
| 61' | ⚽ | Suso · Cadiz |
| 89' | 🟨 | Leonardo Buta · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1549.02 | 1549.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.92 | 9.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.11 | 26.90 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |