← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 6, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Granada win | 23% | 4.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Chupete · Málaga CF |
| 20' | ⚽ | Chupete · Málaga CF |
| 30' | ⚽ | Pau Casadesús · Granada |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mohamed Bouldini · Granada |
| 51' | ⚽ | Pedro Alemañ Serna · Granada |
| 64' | 🟨 | Francisco Montero · Málaga CF |
| 68' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 36.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1489.72 | 1484.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.46 | -48.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.06 | 5.98 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |