← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 6, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Sanchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Valladolid win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Valladolid +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Pau Sans · Zaragoza |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pablo Insua · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Stipe Biuk · Valladolid |
| 50' | 🟨 | Paul Akouokou · Zaragoza |
| 52' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Valladolid |
| 60' | ⚽ | Dani Gómez · Zaragoza |
| 61' | 🟨 | Dani Gómez · Zaragoza |
| 63' | ⚽ | Víctor Meseguer · Valladolid |
| 87' | 🟨 | Trilli · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yussif Saidu · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Garriel Muñoz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ibercaja Estadio |
| coach days | 36.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1397.17 | 1456.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.49 | 11.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 6.88 | 6.98 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |