← Segunda División 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Ojaos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| Mirandes win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Mirandes −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Rafael Bauza · Mirandes |
| 60' | ⚽ | Carlos Fernández · Mirandes |
| 68' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Petit · Mirandes |
| 70' | 🟨 | Rafael Bauza · Mirandes |
| 72' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Albacete |
| 80' | 🟥 | Jon García · Albacete |
| 81' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Albacete |
| 83' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Albacete |
| 90' | ⚽ | — · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 35.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1485.55 | 1542.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.30 | -15.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| league points | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 5.10 | 4.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 22.40 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |