← Segunda División 2025-26 · Mon, Sep 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Muresan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.90 |
| Huesca win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Eibar win | 30% | 3.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Eibar +0 | 46% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 72% | 1.40 |
| Over | 28% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Álvaro Carrillo · Huesca |
| 23' | ⚽ | Jon Magunazelaia · Eibar |
| 27' | 🟨 | Sergio Arribas · Huesca |
| 76' | 🟨 | Álvaro Carrillo · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Rodriguez · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟥 | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1506.44 | 1528.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.85 | 27.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 9.10 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |