← Segunda División 2025-26 · Mon, Aug 25, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Ojaos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Las Palmas win | 24% | 3.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cordoba −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Marvin Park · Las Palmas |
| 20' | ⚽ | Miloš Luković · Las Palmas |
| 24' | 🟨 | Franck Fomeyem · Cordoba |
| 43' | 🟨 | Carlos Albarrán · Cordoba |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ale García · Las Palmas |
| 83' | ⚽ | Enrique Clemente · Las Palmas |
| 89' | ⚽ | Adrian Fuentes · Cordoba |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Martín · Cordoba |
| 90' | 🟨 | Théo Zidane · Cordoba |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| coach days | 24.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1421.67 | 1527.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.78 | -42.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.54 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 24.75 |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |