← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. A. Gonzalez Esteban
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 42% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Mirandes win | 25% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0.25 | 51% | 2.02 |
| Mirandes +0.25 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.43 |
| Over | 32% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Huesca |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ismael Barea · Mirandes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marino Illescas · Mirandes |
| 73' | 🟨 | Thiago Helguera · Mirandes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Julio Alonso · Huesca |
| 88' | 🟨 | Martín Pascual · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Mendizorrotza |
| coach days | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1544.44 | 1493.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.74 | -6.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 5.81 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 22.40 | — |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |