← Segunda División 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Muniz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Granada win | 22% | 4.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Granada −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Oscar Naasei Oppong · Granada |
| 22' | ⚽ | Javier Martón Ansó · Eibar |
| 36' | 🟨 | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 47' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 59' | 🟨 | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 59' | 🟥 | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 60' | ⚽ | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 64' | 🟨 | Diego Hormigo · Granada |
| 66' | 🟨 | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 70' | ⚽ | Álvaro Rodriguez · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurua |
| coach days | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1514.39 | 1509.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.29 | -32.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.92 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |