← Segunda División 2025-26 · Mon, Aug 18, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Mallo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Albacete win | 19% | 5.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −1 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Almeria −1 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 11' | ⚽ | Adrián Embarba · Almeria |
| 38' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcos Luna · Almeria |
| 51' | ⚽ | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 59' | ⚽ | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 66' | ⚽ | Antonio Puertas · Albacete |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jon García · Albacete |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 83' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Albacete |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jonathan Gómez · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Horta · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Léo Baptistão · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 31 | Shots | 17 |
| 11 | On target | 5 |
| 17 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | UD Almeria Stadium |
| coach days | 17.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1556.55 | 1523.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.01 | -6.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.94 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |