← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 17, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Bestard Servera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 |
| Andorra (club) win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Andorra (club) −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ale García · Las Palmas |
| 32' | 🟨 | Thomas Carrique · Andorra (club) |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sergio Molina · Andorra (club) |
| 59' | 🟨 | Théo Le Normand · Andorra (club) |
| 76' | 🟨 | Valentin Pezzolesi · Las Palmas |
| 77' | ⚽ (og) | Sergio Barcia · Andorra (club) |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valentin Pezzolesi · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟥 | Valentin Pezzolesi · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Andorra (club) |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1573.41 | 1431.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.80 | -11.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.70 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |