← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 17, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. H. De Aza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Huesca win | 33% | 3.07 |
| Leganes win | 33% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0 | 50% | 2.06 |
| Leganes +0 | 50% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.47 |
| Over | 32% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Sergio Arribas · Huesca |
| 44' | 🟨 | Naim García · Leganes |
| 50' | ⚽ | Miguel de la Fuente · Leganes |
| 82' | 🟨 | Iñigo Sebastián Magana · Huesca |
| 84' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Millán · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 1.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1492.39 | 1585.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.40 | 27.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 30.04 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |