← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, May 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Pérez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 65% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.83 |
| Castellon win | 15% | 6.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Granada −1.25 | 49% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under | 34% | 2.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Giorgi Tsitaishvili · Granada |
| 33' | 🟨 | Albert Lottin · Castellon |
| 61' | 🟥 | Daijiro Chirino · Castellon |
| 69' | ⚽ | Brian Cipenga · Castellon |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · Granada |
| 89' | ⚽ | Ricard Sánchez · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Lama Maroto · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Ángel Brau · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days |
| 24.00 |
| 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1532.60 | 1448.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.07 | -0.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 68.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.06 | — |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |