← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Almeria win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Almeria +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | Lucas Boyé · Granada |
| 17' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 46' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Melero · Almeria |
| 55' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 68' | 🟨 | Martin Hongla · Granada |
| 78' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Villar · Granada |
| 85' | ⚽ | Miguel Rubio · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 21 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 216.00 | 308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1518.69 | 1534.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.93 | -9.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| league points | 55.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 6.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |