← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 4, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.24 |
| Albacete win | 18% | 5.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon −0.75 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Albacete −0.75 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Jon Morcillo · Albacete |
| 2' | ⚽ | Pablo Sáenz · Albacete |
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 38' | ⚽ | Christian Kofane · Albacete |
| 83' | ⚽ | Nick Markanich · Castellon |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nick Markanich · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jetro Willems · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 30 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio SkyFi Castalia |
| coach days | 93.00 | 399.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1424.24 | 1516.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.00 | 48.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.69 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.90 | 46.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 41.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |