← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 30, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
| Mirandes win | 31% | 3.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete +0 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Mirandes +0 | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Pablo Sáenz · Albacete |
| 40' | 🟨 | Victor Parada · Mirandes |
| 42' | 🟨 | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Mathis Lachuer · Mirandes |
| 47' | ⚽ | Christian Kofane · Albacete |
| 56' | ⚽ | Joaquin Panichelli · Mirandes |
| 79' | 🟥 | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nabil Touaizi · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
| 90' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 394.00 | 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1507.04 | 1555.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 57.08 | 13.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| league points | 47.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.05 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.78 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |