← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Eder Mallo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Levante UD win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Almeria −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 54' | 🟨 | Roger Brugué · Levante UD |
| 80' | 🟨 | José Luis Morales · Levante UD |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Levante UD |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sergio Lozano · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giorgi Kochorashvili · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | UD Almería Stadium |
| coach days | 301.00 | 301.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1523.98 | 1595.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.63 | 35.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| league points | 52.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.29 | 28.16 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |