← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: José Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Cartagena win | 19% | 5.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Castellon +0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Daniel Luna · Cartagena |
| 11' | 🟨 | Álex Calatrava · Castellon |
| 36' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Cartagena |
| 45' | ⚽ | Salim El Jebari · Cartagena |
| 47' | ⚽ | Álex Calatrava · Castellon |
| 55' | ⚽ | Thomas Van den Belt · Castellon |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jesus Hernandez · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 22 |
| 3 | On target | 10 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 87.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1314.52 | 1425.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.66 | -0.17 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 45.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| league points | 19.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.68 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |