← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 23, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD win | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Castellon win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon −0.5 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Levante UD −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.95 |
| Under | 48% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Ousmane Camara · Castellon |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Iván Romero · Levante UD |
| 35' | 🟨 | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 45' | ⚽ | Iván Romero · Levante UD |
| 55' | ⚽ | Ousmane Camara · Castellon |
| 57' | 🟨 | Daijiro Chirino · Castellon |
| 87' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Belt · Castellon |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Castellon |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrián de la Fuente · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Levante UD | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia |
| coach days | 295.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1591.04 | 1430.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.75 | 19.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 46.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 60.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 5.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.52 | — |
| state index | 0.68 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |