← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 24% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Mirandes −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 21' | 🟨 | Pablo Tomeo · Mirandes |
| 24' | ⚽ | Mario Garcia · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 34' | 🟨 | Aritz Aldasoro · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 51' | ⚽ | Urko Izeta · Mirandes |
| 55' | 🟨 | Unai Eguíluz · Mirandes |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mario Garcia · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 75' | ⚽ (og) | Manu · Mirandes |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Mirandes |
| 87' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| 🟨 |
| Joel Roca · Mirandes |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 630.00 | 842.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1547.23 | 1546.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.69 | 18.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 56.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 22.40 | — |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |