← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Ferrol win | 18% | 6.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Julen Lobete · Málaga CF |
| 12' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Málaga CF |
| 21' | 🟨 | Francisco De La Manzanara · Ferrol |
| 39' | ⚽ | David Larrubia · Málaga CF |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jokin Gabilondo · Málaga CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Álvaro Sanz Catalán · Ferrol |
| 85' | 🟨 | Carlos Puga · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days |
| 811.00 |
| 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1458.90 | 1365.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.60 | -35.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -1.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| league points | 42.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.42 | -1.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |