← Segunda División 2024-25 · Mon, Mar 17, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Castellon −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Raúl Sánchez · Castellon |
| 6' | ⚽ | Yeremay Hernández · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 14' | ⚽ | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 22' | 🟨 | Awer Mabil · Castellon |
| 47' | ⚽ | Jozhua Vertrouwd · Castellon |
| 57' | ⚽ | Pablo Vázquez · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 63' | 🟨 | Daijiro Chirino · Castellon |
| 72' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Belt · Castellon |
| 80' | 🟨 | Dani Barcia · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio SkyFi Castalia |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 75.00 | 167.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1430.09 | 1489.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.65 | 9.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.30 | 66.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| league points | 39.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 9.08 | 9.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |