← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: José Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.96 |
| Mirandes win | 30% | 3.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Eldense −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
| 24' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Eldense |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jon Gorrotxategi · Mirandes |
| 61' | ⚽ | Joaquin Panichelli · Mirandes |
| 63' | ⚽ | Víctor García · Eldense |
| 66' | 🟨 | Matia Barzić · Eldense |
| 78' | 🟨 | Unai Eguíluz · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Parada · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joaquin Panichelli · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Juanto Ortuño · Eldense |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 4 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 74.00 | 624.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1430.29 | 1548.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.87 | 18.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| league points | 35.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |