← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Málaga CF win | 22% | 4.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Albacete −0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Christian Kofane · Albacete |
| 19' | 🟨 | Pablo Sáenz · Albacete |
| 20' | ⚽ | Jon Morcillo · Albacete |
| 25' | 🟥 | Christian Kofane · Albacete |
| 26' | 🟥 | Antonio Pacheco · Albacete |
| 32' | 🟥 | Izan Merino · Málaga CF |
| 76' | 🟨 | Carlos Puga · Málaga CF |
| 86' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 88' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 379.00 | 804.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1458.59 | 1471.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.38 | 1.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 38.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 4.82 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |