← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.36 |
| Cartagena win | 9% | 11.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −1.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Levante UD −1.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Martín Aguirregabiria · Cartagena |
| 29' | ⚽ | Iván Romero · Levante UD |
| 48' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 50' | 🟨 | Giorgi Kochorashvili · Levante UD |
| 71' | ⚽ | Giorgi Kochorashvili · Levante UD |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Vicente Iborra · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Levante UD | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia |
| coach days | 281.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1575.54 | 1321.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.13 | -42.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 54.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 36.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | 0.47 | -1.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |