← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 9, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| Málaga CF win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Málaga CF +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 80' | 🟨 | Rubén Sobrino · Cadiz |
| 81' | 🟨 | Joseba Zaldúa · Cadiz |
| 83' | ⚽ | Óscar Melendo · Cadiz |
| 85' | ⚽ | Matos · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 798.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1488.74 | 1505.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.92 | -1.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 42.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.22 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |