← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Eldense win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Dani Gómez · Zaragoza |
| 32' | ⚽ | Iñigo Sebastián Magana · Eldense |
| 34' | ⚽ | Víctor García · Eldense |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mario Soberón · Zaragoza |
| 63' | 🟨 | Kervin Arriaga · Zaragoza |
| 63' | 🟨 | Diego Collado · Eldense |
| 67' | 🟨 | Iñigo Sebastián Magana · Eldense |
| 72' | ⚽ | Víctor García · Eldense |
| 74' | 🟨 | Javi Llabrés · Eldense |
| 79' | ⚽ | Sekou Gassama · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcos Luna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 25 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Tasende · Zaragoza |
| coach days | 7.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1454.73 | 1410.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.35 | 15.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| league points | 37.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |